War in Iran is testing global stability and assumptions. Values, friendship, and motivations are seen as more openly transactional and transparent (what countries want, why they act, why they posture).
Many countries rely on Middle East fuel (gas/crude); this reliance must be reconsidered due to risks involving the US/Israel and Iran’s leverage over arms/security dynamics.
Russia can be both friend and foe depending on its needs; Europe must balance supporting Ukraine with dependence on Russian natural resources.
China is observing; it could apply similar leverage against Taiwan but has not done so (yet). It has now significantly invested in its Electricity Grid ( transmit from West to East China) to reduce dependence on Fossile fuels
North Korea has remained quiet regarding South Korea; emerging precedents are unlikely to be ignored.
India’s heavy dependence on crude imports means it will choose solutions that fit its economy and national interest over ideology; ideological posturing is framed as election-driven. However, it is not clear what the larger Energy plan is.
Global dependency on fossil fuels is now a major vulnerability; after Trump’s election, renewables were deprioritized in favor of crude/economic sensitivities.
Focus is likely to shift back to renewable power as countries act more independently.
Nuclear power may return to favor; France’s leadership could help European countries increase energy independence.
Future of NATO is at stake; potentially the United Nations as well.
UN is described as largely irrelevant beyond providing a platform for speeches/media clips.
UN-affiliated bodies (e.g., WHO) lost credibility during COVID; organizations like UNESCO, UNCTAD, WTO are portrayed as having limited influence, raising questions about continued funding.
Africa is described as neglected in this process, lacking leadership to move the continent forward and facing its own internal issues.
US has solidly aligned with Israel; Israel’s actions are characterized as dependent on US support.
Global order is not a simple West vs East bloc structure anymore; it is increasingly “each country to its own,” acting based on capability and interest.
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